About these ads

The Next Age of Invention

24_1-jm

For City JournalJoel Mokyr writes:  The statement “everything that could be invented has been invented” is frequently misattributed to the late-nineteenth-century American patent commissioner Charles Holland Duell. The Economistonce credited him with the remark, and sites such as “kool kwotes” still reproduce it. In fact, Duell believed the opposite. “In my opinion,” he wrote at the turn of the century, “all previous advances in the various lines of invention will appear totally insignificant when compared with those which the present century will witness. I almost wish that I might live my life over again to see the wonders which are at the threshold.” While this prediction turned out to be on the money, the belief that “the end of invention” is near is very much alive in our age, despite ample evidence of accelerating technological progress.

“Most states today realize that peaceful interstate competition in the marketplace requires staying current with the most advanced technology—but terrorists and rogue states want to stay current, too, for very different reasons…”

Pessimism is most prevalent among economists such as Northwestern University professor Robert J. Gordon, who expects growth to slow to a small fraction of what it was in the past. Gordon predicts that the disposable income of the bottom 99 percent of Americans will grow at just 0.2 percent per year—one-tenth the average rate of U.S. economic growth in the twentieth century. Innovation, he maintains, will not be enough to offset the headwinds that will buffet Western industrialized economies in the next half-century—aging populations, declining educational achievement, and rising inequality. And he is not alone in this dismal view. In The End of Science, published in 1996, journalist John Horgan declared that “the modern era of rapid scientific and technological progress appears to be not a permanent feature of reality, but an aberration, a fluke. . . . Science is unlikely to make any significant additions to the knowledge it has already generated. There will be no revelations in the future comparable to those bestowed upon us by Darwin or Einstein or Watson and Crick.”

“The argument that “if we don’t do this, someone else will” should prove more powerful than the concerns of groups that regard a new technology with suspicion.”

Certainly, it is difficult to know exactly in which direction technological change will move and how significant it will be. Much as in evolutionary biology, all we know is history. Yet something can be learned from the past, and it tells us that such pessimism is mistaken. The future of technology is likely to be bright. Read the rest of this entry »

About these ads

Vintage Atomic Photo of the Day: How Isotopes Are Made

Atomic-museum

Click for full-sized image

 

 

 

 


A Promise The White House Will Keep: Declaring ‘Victory’ Regardless of What Obamacare’s Real Enrollment Numbers Are

obama-sparkly-victory

In the coming days look for a spike in words and phrases like “surge”, “signature legislation,” “domestic policy achievement”. 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – David Morgan writes: The federal website for U.S. consumers to enroll in private health insurance under Obamacare ran into problems twice on Monday because of a surge of people trying to access the site hours before a midnight deadline to sign up for coverage.

Technical issues that barred access to HealthCare.gov for several hours throughout the day underscored the frantic last-minute pace of an enrollment process that could determine the ultimate success or failure of the healthcare law that represents President Barack Obama’s domestic policy achievement.

obamacare-fail

More than 6 million people had signed up for private health coverage through the new Obamacare insurance markets by last week, surpassing a target set after a disastrous October rollout called the enrollment process into question. With daily volumes continuing to surge, analysts believe the final tally could approach or even exceed an original goal of 7 million.

Read the rest of this entry »


[VIDEO] Gun-Trafficking Senator Update: Leland Yee Appears in Court, Bail Kept at $500,000, Plans to Plead Not Guilty

leland-yee-horiz

SAN FRANCISCO — Suspended State Sen. Leland Yee appeared briefly in federal court in San Francisco Monday and was told that his bail will remain at $500,000 while he awaits a trial on corruption and gun trafficking charges.

“Yee is also accused of a seventh charge of trafficking in firearms without a license, in connection with an alleged proposal to ship guns to a Muslim rebel group in the Philippines. The alleged plan was discussed with an undercover agent who was posing a Mafia member.”

Yee, 65, wearing a dark gray business suit and white shirt, said nothing during the appearance before U.S. Magistrate Nathaniel Cousins.

Taiwanese Animators do their worst, in this YouTube video

Cousins ordered him to return to court on April 8 for either an arraignment on a possible grand jury indictment or, if no indictment is issued, a preliminary hearing on a criminal complaint filed by federal prosecutors last week.

Outside of court, Yee’s attorney, Paul DeMeester, said he expects an indictment and said Yee will plead not guilty.

Read the rest of this entry »


How a 20-Year-Old British Sniper Killed Six Taliban Insurgents With a Single Bullet — From Half a Mile Away

A sniper serving in Afghanistan on Operation Herrick 10 with the Sniper Platoon, D (Fire Support) Company, 2nd Battalion, The Mercian Regiment, with his .338mm L115 A3 sniper rifle. ORG XMIT: MOD Crown Copyright   PHOTO CREDIT: UK MINISTRY OF DEFENCE (link: http://www.defenceimagery.mod.uk/fotoweb/ )/pws

A sniper serving in Afghanistan on Operation Herrick 10 with the Sniper Platoon, D (Fire Support) Company, 2nd Battalion, The Mercian Regiment, with his .338mm L115 A3 sniper rifle. PHOTO: UK MINISTRY OF DEFENCE

For The Telegraph, Holly Watt reports:  A British sniper in Afghanistan killed six insurgents with a single bullet after hitting the trigger switch of a suicide bomber whose device then exploded, The Daily Telegraph has learnt.

L115A3 Sniper RifleThe 20-year-old marksman, a lance corporal in the Coldstream Guards, hit his target from 850 metres, killing the suicide bomber and five others around him caught in the blast.

The incident in Kakaran in southern Afghanistan happened in December but has only now been disclosed as Britain moves towards the withdrawal of all combat soldiers by the end of the year.

Lt Col Richard Slack, commanding officer of 9/12 Royal Lancers, said the unnamed sharpshooter prevented a major attack by the Taliban, as a second suicide vest packed with 20 kg of explosives was found nearby.

The same sniper, with his first shot on the tour of duty, killed a Taliban machine-gunner from 1,340 metres.

“I think I’ve just shot a suicide bomber”

Several hundred British and Afghan soldiers were carrying out an operation in December when they were engaged in a gun battle with 15 to 20 insurgents.

“The guy was wearing a vest. He was identified by the sniper moving down a tree line and coming up over a ditch,” said Lt Col Slack. “He had a shawl on. It rose up and the sniper saw he had a machine gun.

“They were in contact and he was moving to a firing position. The sniper engaged him and the guy exploded. There was a pause on the radio and the sniper said, ‘I think I’ve just shot a suicide bomber.’ The rest of them were killed in the blast.”

UK MINISTRY OF DEFENCEThe L115A3 sniper rifle.

It is understood the lance corporal was using an L115A3 gun, the Army’s most powerful sniper weapon.

The Armed Forces are gradually decreasing their presence in Helmand, handing over security of the country to the Afghan armed forces. Last month, three major bases were closed or handed over to Afghan control. At the height of the campaign, there were 137 bases across Helmand – now there is only one base outside Camp Bastion, Sterga 2, which is staffed by a company from 4 Scots and the 9/12 Royal Lancers. Read the rest of this entry »


The Quest for Immortality: We May Already Know How We Will Cure Death. Should We?

Aubrey de Grey is head of a Silicon Valley-based research team bent on reversing aging just in time for de Grey to live forever. David Alvarado & Jason Sussberg

Aubrey de Grey is head of a Silicon Valley-based research team bent on reversing aging just in time for de Grey to live forever. David Alvarado & Jason Sussberg

Christopher Mims writes:  A pair of advocates—they do legitimate research too, but their ardor is so intense, it’s hard to call them scientists—believe that they will, within their lifetimes, make ours the first generation of humans to live forever.

“Once we are really truly repairing things as fast as they go wrong, game over. We will have the ability to live indefinitely.”

– Aubrey de Grey

Their quest is elegantly laid out in The Immortalists, a new documentary making its way around the film festival circuit. The Immortalists follows the triumphs and tragedies of three years in the lives of William H. Andrews and Aubrey de Grey, two men who prove just as interesting as the work they’re doing. The Immortalists is really a film about death, not life, which is what makes it so fascinating.

Here’s the trailer:

The goal of Andrews and de Grey is not merely to extend life, but to actually reverse the aging process. “Once we are really truly repairing things as fast as they go wrong, game over,” de Grey says in the film. “We will have the ability to live indefinitely.”

Read the rest of this entry »


Vintage Sci-Fi Illustration of the Day

future-city

vintagefuture


Reality Check: Obamacare Real Enrollment: Just 1.7% of Uninsured Covered

(Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)

(Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)

Breitbart.com‘s Wynton Hall reports: Obamacare, the plan purportedly created to provide health coverage for the uninsured, has enrolled just 1.7% of America’s 48.6 million uninsured.

News of the disastrous numbers comes as nervous Democrats and President Barack Obama, ahead of the November midterm elections, did their best on Monday’s enrollment deadline to put a positive spin on the deeply unpopular Obamacare program. The latest Associated Press poll finds that Obamacare has now hit an all-time low approval rating of just 26 percent.

 “…the official HHS numbers still include duplicate enrollments.” 

– Washington Post columnist Ed Rogers

The White House now claims an Obamacare enrollment figure of six million people. However, according to The New York Times, at least 20% of those never paid their premiums to activate coverage, leaving them uninsured. That drops the number down to 4.8 million.

Americans head to the polls in 218 days.

Next, as Washington Post columnist Ed Rogers notes, “the official HHS numbers still include duplicate enrollments.” No one knows how many duplicate enrollments are in the stack; the White House refuses to say. However, given the disastrous Obamacare website failures, it is reasonable to imagine that the pile is riddled with numerous “false start” applications.

Read the rest of this entry »


Oops! Obama Admin Released Tens of Thousands of Illegal Immigrant Criminals

California Prisons Layoffs

President Obama’s Department of Homeland Security caught then released 68,000 aliens who had previously been convicted of a crime, a new report from the Center for Immigration Studies shows.

“The preponderance of the evidence demonstrates that immigration enforcement in America has collapsed…”

– Senator Jeff Sessions

The report, provided to Breitbart News ahead of its late Sunday evening release, reviews internal Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) metrics to conclude that the Obama administration released 35 percent—or 68,000—convicted criminal aliens back into the U.S. general population when they could have been deported. “The criminal alien releases typically occur without formal notice to local law enforcement agencies and victims,” CIS’s Jessica Vaughan, the report’s author, added.

“…American citizens have a legal and moral right to the protections our immigration laws afford – at the border, the interior and the workplace…”

By “criminal,” ICE means people who have been convicted of a misdemeanor or felony that is not a traffic violation. For instance, traffic violations like Driving Under the Influence of Alcohol or even vehicular manslaughter do not count toward this description of “criminal alien.” As for the definition of “alien,” ICE mostly means illegal aliens, though some are legal aliens when they are considered deportable legal aliens—which is possible for legal immigrants who have committed a serious crime, like a felony.

“…The administration has stripped these protections and adopted a government policy that encourages new arrivals to enter illegally or overstay visas by advertising immunity from future enforcement. “

The documents also show ICE only deported a small fraction of the aliens they encountered overall.

Read the rest of this entry »


Kathleen Sebelius: Insulated, Arrogant, Disinterested, Declines to Respond to Reporter in Bizarre On-Air Silence

Sebelius Has No Comment After Hearing Oklahoma’s Opposition To ObamaCare (March 31, 2014)


California Obamacare Exchange Mails Couple Voter-Registration Form with Democratic Party Checked Already

Covered CA Voter Registration

A couple from La Mesa, Calif., received a voter-registration form from Covered California, the state’s Obamacare campaign, with an “x” already put next to the Democratic-party box.

The couple called their local 10News station to say they had received the voter-registration form — the couple have always been registered Republicans and are confused as to why such a form would be sent to their home.

Read the rest of this entry »


Rachael Ray’s Horrifying Descent into Cannibalism: Cooks, Eats Joe Biden’s Skin

biden-head2ABC’s Rachael Ray hosted Vice President Joe Biden for a pre-taped interview which was planned to be aired on Monday March 31. In what was meant to be a cheerful televised interview to help promote Obamacare, Ray shocked the studio audience by announcing that she was going to cook and eat Joe Biden, because his skin looked so perfect, and delicious.

“…The most glowing, perfect skin of any person I’ve ever seen…”

Law enforcement officials have seized the tape of the broadcast, and are holding it for evidence. The FBI, the Justice Department, and the Secret Service are all declining to comment. Joe Biden’s family has also declined to comment, pending the investigation. Details of what happened are unclear, but this much is known, according to witnesses who were in the studio:

Ray began the segment by beaming that Biden had “The most glowing, perfect skin of any person I’ve ever seen” before telling the Vice President “I really want to know what moisturizer you use. I love moisturizers, my husband is a moisturizer as well. Would you tell me what moisturizer you use?”

Then she shocked her studio audience by calling for two bodyguards, who restrained Biden, moved him into the middle of the studio, opened a panel on the floor, then violently threw the Vice President into a deep well.

Ray then began taunting Biden, as he tried helplessly to claw his way out of the hole. Many horrified audience members headed for the exits, trying to get out of the studio, only to find the doors locked. Ray laughed, and lowered a basket of skin care products into the well.

“It puts lotion on its skin…”

Ray said, then instructed Biden to strip naked and apply the moisturizing lotion to his entire body. The Vice President’s screams were were so upsetting to audience members, Rachel Ray and her staff rushed to proceed with the cooking project she had planned.

Read the rest of this entry »


How Did Harry Reid Get Rich? How Did Harry’s Family Get Rich?

 writes: Another man might have assumed, correctly, that launching a campaign of insult and insinuation against two billionaires would result in renewed attention to his own finances. Not Harry Reid. The Senate Democratic leader since 2005, and the Senate majority leader since 2007, is not one to reflect before speaking. His mouth runs far ahead of his brain.

“Reid and his family appear to work within the confines of the law, which should not be surprising, because Reid writes that law…”

In recent years Reid has declared an American war “lost” while our troops still fought overseas; praised President Obama for his “light” skin and “no Negro dialect, unless he wanted to have one”; asserted falsely and without evidence thatMitt Romney had not paid any taxes for a decade; and said “Why would we want to do that?” when asked if he would fund cancer research during the government shutdown.

“What Reid did not explain was that the bill promised a cavalcade of benefits to real estate developers, corporations, and local institutions that were paying hundreds of thousands of dollars in lobbying fees to his sons’ and son-in-law’s firms.”

Now, with his majority in danger, his president unpopular, his floor agenda obstructed by members of his own caucus, Reid thrashes about uncontrollably. He calls Obamacare horror stories “untrue.” He says Obamacare numbers are not as high as projected because Americans “are not educated on how to use the Internet.” His Senate Majority PAC launches a $3 million ad campaign tying Republican candidates to two men most Americans have never heard of, two men who, funnily enough, are more popular than Reid.

Harry

“…the Washington Post in 2012 ‘uncovered nearly 50 members who helped direct millions of dollars in earmarks to projects that either held the potential to enhance the surroundings of a lawmaker’s own property, or aided entities connected to their immediate family,’ and one of those members was Reid.”

From the floor of the Senate Reid says these two men, Charles and David Koch, are “un-American,” are trying “to buy America.” Without the terrible specter of the Koch brothers Harry Reid would be disarmed. He has no issue for his Democratic Senators to run on; the minimum wage and climate change are not enough. Nor has he another means of inspiring donors to open their checkbooks. He only has fear, fear of the Kochs, fear of extractive industry, fear of the portion of the elite that favors economic freedom. The Koch brothers, Reid says, “rig the system to benefit themselves.” He should know.

Read the rest of this entry »


Vintage Pulp Fiction Book Cover of the Day: ‘The Case of the Shoplifter’s Shoe’

perry-mason-mystery


Democrats Unveil New Campaign Message: ‘There’s No Such Thing as Obamacare’

Supporters of Obamacare are no longer just distancing themselves from the president’s controversial health-care law — they’re now denying it even really exists.

“There’s no such thing as Obamacare”

– Senator Angus King I., Maine

I always imagined it was a matter of time before a prominent Democrat dropped some LSD, went on national TV, and vocalized internal auditory hallucinations.

Perhaps Senator King is expressing an understandable longing for the relative safety of the pre-Obama era. I hope someone tells him the nightmare of Obama is unfortunately quite real, and offers him a comfortable place lay down until the hallucinations subside. 

read more…

Read the rest of this entry »


Vintage War Machine: Bazooka Vespa

vespa_militaire_tap

You’ll never think of the Vespa quite the same way

By guest writer Scott of Pipeburn.

Many times I’ve wished I had a Bazooka attached to my bike, usually after almost being killed by someone who didn’t check their side mirrors. Luckily for them, all I had to unload was my middle finger. So when I first saw this Vespa, I knew most motorcyclists would love the concept—even if it was made for a different purpose. It is named the Vespa 150 TAP (Troupes Aéro Portées) and it’s an Italian Vespa scooter modified by creating a hole in the legshield to carry a M20 75 mm recoilless rifle. The recoil or ‘kick’ from the rifle was counter balanced by venting propellant gases out the rear of the weapon; this eliminated the need for heavy mounts, and enabled the weapon to be fired from the Vespa frame.

Read the rest of this entry »


‘Environmentalism Has Become a Religion’ Says James Lovelock, Father of The Modern Green Movement

lovelockJames Delingpole writes:  Environmentalism has become a “religion” – and “religions don’t worry too much about facts” says scientist James Lovelock, father of the modern green movement.

Interviewed in the Guardian on the day of the IPCC’s latest report, Lovelock also praises nuclear power as “an extraordinary gift to humans” and dismisses criticisms of it as “propaganda”:

“I’m a scientist and an inventor, and it is absurd to reject nuclear energy,” he says. “It all comes from the religious side. They feel guilty about dropping atom bombs on people. Here was this extraordinary gift given to humans – a safe, cheap source of power – and it gets horribly abused right at the start.

We’re still playing out the guilt feelings about it. But it’s sad because we in Britain could now be having cheap energy if we’d gone on building [nuclear power stations].”

Nuclear waste? “It isn’t a problem,” he insists. “Sandy and I were invited to France, and we stood on 25 years of nuclear waste at La Hague. I had my own handheld monitor to check whether they were bullshitting me about it, and it was showing about the same reading as I was getting in this room. It was completely safe. Read the rest of this entry »


Sacré Bleu! Marxist Die-Hards Rejoice: Paris Gets its First Female Mayor, Socialist Candidate Anne Hidalgo Wins Election

socialist-in-paris

Socialist Anne Hidalgo to be first female mayor of Paris

Paris (AFP) – Anne Hidalgo, a Spanish-born Socialist, will be the first female mayor of Paris after an unexpectedly comfortable win in municipal elections on Sunday.

Hidalgo, 54, had been expected to be run extremely close by her centre-right rival, former government minister Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet, on a night when the Socialists took a beating from voters across the country because of the unpopularity of President Francois Hollande’s government.

But Hidalgo emerged with 54.5 percent of second round votes in the capital, comfortably seeing off Kosciusko-Morizet’s challenge, according to exit polls.

An old school feminist socialist, Hidalgo has spent the last 13 years as a low-profile deputy to current mayor Bertrand Delanoe.

She will now join an exclusive club of women who have taken charge of major cities around the world.

Read the rest of this entry »


[VIDEO] Late Night Music Workshop: Steely Dan’s Donald Fagen Deconstructs ‘PEG’

aja“Aja” was a great album, wasn’t it? Everyone’s got their own memories associated with it — I won’t bore you with mine, but I have a lot of affection for the song “Peg”, and a lot of respect for the artistry of the whole album — like all great pop-rock albums, they become embedded in our memories, the soundtracks of our wasted youth. Released during a time when Steely Dan was at the peak of their craft, Aja was probably Steely Dan’s last fully-developed album before they disbanded. Deacon Blues, too, is a great song, great lyrics.

Listen as Donald Fagen discusses and plays the Steely Dan hit “Peg” with Warren Bernhardt.

I bet this makes you want to pull out the album and listen to the original Peg. Unless of course you don’t have it. In which case, you’re in luck,

[Steely Dan's classic 1977 album "Aja" is available at Amazon]

Or you can probably download just the song Peg, via iTunes or Amazon or one of the instant-play services. Or you can enjoy it on YouTube right here.

Donald Fagen talks about PEG pt 1 – YouTube


More on the Secret Warplane Sighting Over Texas

Dean Musket

Dean Muskett

Unknown to the public, shaped like a kite, sketching a contrail tens of thousands of feet in the air.

Contributing Editor Primatologist nailed it early this morning in this post. Here’s more on the mystery military aircraft spotting from Medium.com

David Axe & Robert Beckhusen & Matthew Gault report: Photographers have spotted what appears to be a previously unknown type of stealth warplane flying over Texas.

Steve Douglass and Dean Muskett, both veteran plane-spotters, snapped photos of at least one, and possibly three, examples of the new aircraft and their contrails near Amarillo on March 10. Ace reporter Bill Sweetman first posted the pics on Aviation Week’s Website—and Douglass followed up with a blog post.

The photo atop our story is a generic image of an airplane producing a contrail at high altitude.

Douglass described the circumstances on his blog. “The sky was severe-clear and the three contrails stood out like white chalked exclamation points across a deep blue sky.” He didn’t realize what he had until he got home and inspected the digital files.

Read the rest of this entry »


Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 5,375 other followers